Welsh Independence Polling

Support for independence in Wales has also been steadily rising, with the polling average for 2021 indicating 34% of Welsh people (expressing a view) now back the country leaving the UK. 

Data is very limited*, but trend is consistent. Data for 2018 suggest a possible reduction in support following Wales voting narrowly for brexit alongside England. However, averages for 2019 onwards reverted to the rising Yes long term trend.

By 2023 - the target year for Scotland's second independence referendum - linear projection suggests support for independence in Wales may have reached 38%.



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