Skiers fir Indy

For this plot, I show the yearly average as per the methodology detailed here: https://skiersfirindy.blogspot.com/2021/08/oan-subject-of-yes-polling.html Updated with newer results here: https://skiersfirindy.blogspot.com/2021/08/oan-subject-of-yes-polling.html But this time I've added every single poll point that went into it, including today's IPSOS MORI. If you simply stick a linear trend through that, you get basically the same answer. Aye, excluding dinnae ken, has risen steadily from around 40% in 2011, to just over 50% today. Always look at the bigger picture.

Forgotten by most, the UK economy started contracting in Q3 2019 ahead of Britain's final departure from the EU (1 & 2). This was of course well before the covid pandemic, which didn't start to impact the UK economy until mid Q1 2020. As would be expected, the effect of the 2017 Leave vote was to cause GDP growth to slow, commensurate with skilled workers from the EU ceasing to come to live and work in the UK. This can be seen clearly in the data (3). While the pandemic has masked what has been happening GDP-wise, the trend will be as indicated in (2); the decline in this closely correlating with the depopulation trend (3). Never in the history of human civilisation has an economy grown in the face of mass depopulation, particularly of young, skilled workers. The UK is now entering a long term economic decline that could only be arrested if depopulation is stopped, and by popular free will / free movement. The UK government may soon act to prevent people leaving, e.g. by re

 The floods out of the UK exit gates continues apace. EU nationals living in the UK had fallen by 1/3 of a million since exit day. Meanwhile, the number of non-EU nationals has hardly changed in over a decade. Source: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/ukpopulationbycountryofbirthandnationality/yearendingjune2021

 

Graph of Scottish free choice self declared national identity / nationality as a function of year of majority (YoM) i.e. the year a person turned 18. Selected YoM with corresponding years of birth (b, in brackets) are shown. British identity in the Scottish population peaks in those born in 1944, i.e. the post war consensus baby boomers, these people turning 18 early in the swinging sixties (1962). Britishness then goes into continuous decline while Scottish (only) identity remains relatively stable in those who turned 18 in the intervening years until ~1997 onwards when it starts to rise measurably, with a corresponding acceleration in the decline of Britishness. This is the generation turning 18 in the year of the 1997 devolution referendum, i.e. ‘Thatcher’s children’, born in 1979. 2007 sees a huge surge in Scottish identity in new 18 year old voters. These are the young Scots coming of age under pro-independence devolved governments. These trends are fundamentally linked to the ~60

Total (over the entire life of the site) stated donations as of: August 2019 https://archive.is/sH1OD#selection-743.0-747.50 ‘£900,000’ August 2020 https://archive.is/nQmQC#selection-1255.0-1255.31 £899,806 September 2021 https://archive.is/baeX7#selection-3455.0-3457.8 £884,841